JPMorgan raises net-interest-income guidance to reflect $3 billion bump from First Republic Bank takeover

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JPMorgan Chase & Co. raised its net-interest-income guidance on Monday by $3 billion to reflect the bump it will get from its takeover of First Republic Bank.

The bank is now expecting its 2023 net interest income (NII) to come to $84 billion, up from $81 billion forecast in April. Thatโ€™s well above the current FactSet NII consensus of $80.83 billion.

The stock
JPM,
-0.83%

fell 0.8% in Monday afternoon trading, to reverse an earlier intraday gain of as much as 1.8%.

The banking giant also said it still expects total integration costs associated with the purchase of First Republicโ€™s assets and the assumption of its deposits and certain liabilities to be about $3.5 billion.

โ€œWeโ€™re currently assuming that about half of the integration expense will be incurred this year as we continue integrating the First Republic franchise,โ€ said Jeremy Barnum, chief financial officer at JPMorgan, speaking at the annual Investor Day, according to a FactSet transcript. โ€œWe expect to have choices about the service model, which may result in higher expense, all else equal.โ€

Barnum added that if expenses are higher, they will also come with additional revenue.

He explained that the companyโ€™s conservative approach to the deployment of the increase in liquidity resources during the pandemic era, such as a big jump in deposits, led to an increase in excess capital.

As JPMorgan Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon โ€œalways says,โ€ Barnum noted, โ€œexcess capital is just future earnings.โ€ It is that excess capital, the CFO said, that allowed the bank to do the First Republic deal at โ€œextremely attractive returns.โ€

Regarding concerns about deposit outflows into money-market funds following the recent collapse of several regional banks, Barnum said he expects systemwide deposits to continue to decline.

โ€œIn light of these pressures, itโ€™s therefore important to reiterate our deposit strategy,โ€ Barnum said. โ€œWe will fight to keep primary banking relationships, but we are not going to chase every dollar of deposit balances.โ€

The stock has gained 3.0% in the year to date, while the Financial Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund
XLF,
+0.18%

has dropped 4.4% and the S&P 500
SPX,
+0.02%

has gained 9.4%.

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