Target stock slips after earnings beat expectations, but Q2 profit view missed

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Shares of Target Corp. seesawed to a gain early Wednesday, after the discount retailer reported fiscal first-quarter results that beat expectations and reiterated its full-year outlook, but provided a downbeat second-quarter profit view due to โ€œsoftening sales trends.โ€

Net income for the quarter to April 29 fell to $950 million, or $2.05 a share, from $1.01 billion, or $2.16 a share, in the same period a year ago. Excluding nonrecurring items, adjusted earnings per share fell to $2.05 from $2.19 but beat the FactSet consensus of $1.77.

Total revenue increased 0.6% to $25.32 billion, above the FactSet consensus of $25.26 billion, while same-store sales grew 0.7% to exceed the FactSet consensus for a 0.2% rise, as traffic rose 0.9%.

The stock rose 0.9% in premarket trading, but has swung from a loss of as much as 3.6% to a gain of as much as 2.4% after the results were reported.

โ€œWe came into the year clear-eyed about the challenges consumers are facing, and we were determined to build on the trust weโ€™ve established with our guests,โ€ said Chief Executive Officer Brian Cornell. โ€œItโ€™s required agility and the ability to flex across our multi-category portfolio as we lean into value and the product categories our guests need most right now.โ€

Cost of sales declined 0.4% to $18.39 billion, as gross margin improved to 27.4% from 26.7%.

The value of inventory fell 6.5% from the sequential fourth quarter, and dropped 16.4% from a year ago, to $12.62 billion as of April 29.

โ€œ[W]e now expectย shrinkย will reduce this yearโ€™s profitability by more thanย $500 millionย compared with last year,โ€ said CEO Cornell. โ€œWhile there are many potential sources of inventoryย shrink, theft and organized retail crime are increasingly important drivers of the issue.

Looking ahead, Target said it was planning for a wide range of sales outcomes, given โ€œsoftening sales trendsโ€ in the first quarter.

For the second quarter, the company expects same-store sales to be down in the low-single digit percentage range, compared with the FactSet consensus for a 0.1% increase. And adjusted EPS for the current quarter is expected to be $1.30 to $1.70, below expectations of $1.95.

For the full year, Target reiterated its guidance for same-store sales growth of 0.7% and for adjusted EPS of $7.75 to $8.75. That compares with the FactSet consensus for same-store sales growth of 0.6% and for adjusted EPS of $8.36.

The stock has gained 5.3% year to date through Tuesday, while the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR exchange-traded fund
XLY,
-0.41%

has run up 14.1% and the S&P 500 index
SPX,
-0.64%

has advanced 7.0%.

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