Tencent shares drop after profit misses estimates, but analysts signal optimism

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Tencent Holdings shares
700,
-0.88%

fell after its first-quarter profit missed expectations, though analysts broadly looked past the disappointment as they focused on the companyโ€™s longer-term growth potential.

The stock fell as much as 3.9% on Thursday and was recently 1.1% lower at 339.00 Hong Kong dollars.

The Chinese tech giant on Wednesday said its first-quarter net profit rose 10% to 25.84 billion yuan ($3.69 billion). That compared with an expectation of CNY29.93 billion, according to a FactSet poll of analysts.

Analysts said the disappointment was partly due to slower-than-expected advertising income growth and a sharp increase in tax expenses.

Still, stronger-than-expected games business and financial services operations helped analysts shrug off the miss.

โ€œWe view [first-quarter] result as stronger than expected, especially on the healthy recovery of domestic gaming revenue growth and fintech & business services revenue improvement,โ€ Citi analysts said in a note.

They were particularly optimistic about Tencentโ€™s core gaming business. The segmentโ€™s revenue came in 11% above Citiโ€™s estimates.

โ€œMore encouragingly, Tencent highlighted robust grossing improvement for franchise titles and newly launched games, which bode well for gaming revenue to resume more healthy and sustainable growth in coming quarters,โ€ the Citi analysts said. โ€œTogether with a rich pipeline and a number of strong titles to be released in the coming summer, we believe Tencentโ€™s gaming revenue should be growing from strength to strength in 2023 and into 2024.โ€

Citi raised its target price on Tencent to HK$506 from HK$503 and kept a buy rating.

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